Found this from FiveThirtyEight:
With the Stanley Cup finals set to start tonight, I thought this would be a fun game to play, especially for hockey fans whose teams are done for the season.
For me, the picking went pretty easy, probably because there are lots of good combinations here. I went with Ken Dryden ($2); Lidstrom, my favorite player, potentially overvalued but always undervalued while he played ($5); Chelios ($1); Mr. Hockey ($5); Super Mario ($4); and John Bucyk, never of whom I have heard ($1). (I originally had Shanahan at LW before realizing I needed two defensemen, hence Cheli and Mr. Bucyk.)
FiveThirtyEight offers a team “formed from an advanced stats point of view.” In this case, that mostly means referencing Goals Versus Threshold (“GVT”), a WAR-like statistic that seeks to present “the value of a player, in goals, above what a replacement player would have contributed.” Their picks:
- Hasek ($4) – “A steal”
- Orr ($5) – “the difference between his production at his peak … and that of the next-best defenseman is truly massive”
- Larry Robinson ($2) – “a higher five-year peak [in terms of GVT] than . . . Lidstrom despite” costing less than half as much as Nick
- Gretzky ($5) – his “production was such a radical outlier that he’ll be worth the price”
- Jarri Kurri ($1) and Bucyk ($1) – “both Hall of Famers” and “building a top-heavy team with a few stars and a bunch of lesser players is not such a bad thing.
Post your team in the comments below, and cast your predictive vote for the outcome of this year’s Stanley Cup finals right here:
This is awesome. Like anything, I disagree with some of the price points, but overall a great show. As for tonight, I suppose I’m pulling for LA in this one – though I’m amazed at the way Boyle’s stepped up his game in the post-season.
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