Are the Detroit Tigers a playoff team in 2023?

The 2023 MLB playoffs started two weeks ago without the Detroit Tigers, who’d been officially eliminated about a week beforehand and effectively eliminated long before that. Still, taking a look at the baseball being played this October, it’s difficult to escape the feeling that the Tigers had been a 2023 playoff team.

Infield/Catcher
Willy Adames*
Willi Castro
Kody Clemens
James McCann
Isaac Paredes

Outfield
Nick Castellanos
Avisail Garcia
Robbie Grossman
J.D. Martinez

Pitcher
Andrew Chafin
Chad Green*
Joe Jimenez
Michael Lorenzen
Joe Mantiply
Matt Moore
Erasmo Ramirez
Max Scherzer
Gregory Soto
Julio Teheran
Caleb Thielbar*
Justin Verlander
Justin Wilson

All of the foregoing players were rostered on 2023 MLB teams that made the playoffs and previously played for the Tigers or *one of their farm teams. Don’t let anyone tell you they can’t build a winner in Detroit. Also don’t let anyone forget that the AL East put three teams in the 2023 MLB playoffs, and those three teams posted a collective 0-7 postseason record this year.

Cherry picking the 2021 Detroit Tigers All-Stars

The annual National Cherry Festival resumes this weekend in Traverse City and runs until the start of the 2021 MLB All-Star break begins after the following weekend. Let’s use that time to look at how the Detroit Tigers have been performing over an intraseason period selected solely to make them appear better than they have been if you do something foolish like take then entire season into account.

On May 7, the Tigers lost to the Minnesota Twins 7-3, dropping their record to 9-24, and leaving them as the only MLB team without a double-digit win total. Miguel Cabrera was running a career-worst .127/.225/.238 line, and the team had just one above-average hitter in Jeimer Candelario (115 wRC+, with his BABIP still hovering around .400).

On May 8, though, the Tigers reversed the scoreboard and beat the Twins 7-3. That started a 25-21 run, a .543 winning percentage that– holding all else constant– would bump Detroit up to third place in the AL Central (or first place in the NL East).* Sure they actually remain locked in a virtual tie for last place in the division, but let’s stick with this May 8 thing a little while longer.

Since May 8, Detroit quadrupled its tally of above-average hitters. Robbie Grossman and Eric Haase (both 107 wRC+) have come on strong and clutch. And Jonathan Schoop and breakout star Akil Baddoo are on fire. Their respective 167 wRC+ and 159 wRC+ marks would make each of them top-ten hitters if extended over the full season to date. (On the other hand, Candelario dropped 100 points of BABIP and flipped his wRC+ from 115 to 85.)

As he so often does, Miguel Cabrera deserves special mention. He’s pulled up his offensive rate numbers a good deal and continues to accumulate historic-level career achievements. He continues to close in on 3,000 hits (2,915), and at 493 homers, he now is tied with Lou Gehrig and Fred McGriff on the all-time list.

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